A tense battle for influence is brewing within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), as Embakasi East MP Babu Owino positions himself as a formidable challenger to the party’s veteran leadership.
His recent public warning to Oburu Odinga, highlighted in political analyst Lee Makwiny’s commentary, underscores a growing rift that could redefine ODM’s direction ahead of the 2027 elections.
Owino’s rise is fueled by his strong connection with Kenya’s younger electorate.
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Once dismissed as one of the party’s disruptive “Wakuba,” he now commands loyalty from millennials and Gen Z voters who admire his boldness and willingness to confront established power structures.
Makwiny notes that ODM’s repeated delays in holding youth league elections appear calculated to slow the consolidation of Owino’s growing base.
The MP’s challenge to Oburu Odinga, a key guardian of the Odinga political legacy, signals an ambitious attempt to stake his claim in a space long dominated by Raila Odinga.
Owino is not content with symbolic gestures in parliament; he is maneuvering to position himself as the natural heir to the party leadership.
Yet the path is far from smooth. ODM’s entrenched structures, fortified by networks of loyalty and patronage, present significant obstacles.
According to Makwiny, Owino faces a few strategic options: spearhead an internal revolt, establish a splinter faction, or launch a new youth-focused political movement.
Each comes with substantial risks, including potential fractures within the broader Azimio coalition at a critical moment when opposition unity is essential.
The upcoming Nairobi gubernatorial race is central to his strategy. Victory would solidify his political credentials and provide a platform to contest for ODM’s top position.
However, formidable competitors such as Gladys Wanga and Raychelle Omamo remain in the mix, ready to challenge his ascent.
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